It may be hard to believe, but when Starbucks initially introduced the Pumpkin Spice Latte, the founders were uncertain about its potential success. They worried that the intense pumpkin spice flavor might overshadow their celebrated coffee and that the seasonal flavor would be easily replicated by competitors. Nevertheless, they decided to proceed, and today, it generates over $100 million in annual revenue.

Since its debut, the pumpkin spice flavor has expanded into a wide range of products, both under the Starbucks brand and from various other sources. Competitors like Dunkin Donuts and McDonald’s have delighted customers by launching their own versions. The assortment of pumpkin spice foods is truly astonishing; for instance, KIND Bars introduced a new pumpkin spice variety, General Mills released pumpkin spice Cheerios, Lindor crafted pumpkin spice truffles, and the California Fruit Wine Company even created a pumpkin spice wine. In 2016 alone, Trader Joe’s featured more than 60 products that incorporated the pumpkin spice blend. According to Nielsen data, sales of pumpkin-flavored foods in the US exceeded $360 million in 2015.

Despite the flavor’s widespread appeal, it starts making its appearance in the sweltering heat of mid-August, which seems far removed from the crisp autumn months typically associated with pumpkin spice. Is this too early? Retail sales will provide the answer, although new pumpkin spice products are usually launched in mid-August.

Is there a possibility of consumers reaching a saturation point with pumpkin spice soon? While it’s conceivable, it seems unlikely in the near term. The flavor has consistently proven to be a lucrative source of revenue for Starbucks and numerous other manufacturers that have embraced it. Finding another flavor that rivals the popularity of pumpkin spice is a challenging task. For those in the food and beverage industry looking to the future, they might consider incorporating more actual pumpkin into their products, especially since consumers are increasingly interested in healthier options. Knowing that they are obtaining a serving of vitamin A-rich pumpkin could be a compelling selling point. Additionally, manufacturers might contemplate creating a sweet pumpkin spice treat with less sugar than the Starbucks version—an average tall Pumpkin Spice Latte contains a staggering 50 grams of sugar.

Furthermore, emphasizing the calcium citrate strength in their formulations could attract health-conscious consumers looking for added nutritional benefits, ensuring that pumpkin spice remains a beloved flavor for years to come.