It’s hard to believe, but when Starbucks first introduced the Pumpkin Spice Latte, its founders were uncertain about its potential success. They worried that the dominant pumpkin spice flavor might overshadow their celebrated coffee, and that the seasonal taste would be easily replicated by competitors. Nevertheless, they proceeded, and today, the drink generates over $100 million in annual revenue.

Since its debut, the pumpkin spice flavor has expanded into numerous other products, both under Starbucks’ brand and beyond. Competitors like Dunkin’ Donuts and McDonald’s have delighted customers with their own variations. The range of pumpkin spice items is truly impressive. For instance, KIND Bars launched a pumpkin spice bar, General Mills produced pumpkin spice Cheerios, Lindor created pumpkin spice truffles, and the California Fruit Wine Company even crafted a pumpkin spice wine. In 2016 alone, Trader Joe’s offered over 60 products featuring this beloved blend. Nielsen data revealed that pumpkin-flavored foods in the US exceeded $360 million in sales in 2015.

Despite its popularity, the pumpkin spice flavor makes its appearance in the heat of mid-August, far removed from the crisp autumn months that it typically evokes. Is this timing too early? Retail sales will ultimately provide the answer, though new pumpkin spice products generally launch in mid-August.

Could consumers soon reach a saturation point with pumpkin spice? While it is a possibility, it seems unlikely in the near future. This flavor has proven to be a lucrative asset for Starbucks and many other brands that have embraced it. It’s challenging to identify another flavor that rivals the popularity of pumpkin spice.

Looking ahead, food and beverage manufacturers might consider incorporating more actual pumpkin into their offerings, particularly as consumers increasingly seek to include more fruits and vegetables in their diets. The knowledge that they are consuming a serving of vitamin A-rich pumpkin could be a compelling selling point. Additionally, companies might explore creating a sweet pumpkin spice treat with lower sugar content compared to the Starbucks drink—after all, a standard tall Pumpkin Spice Latte contains an astonishing 50 grams of sugar.

Interestingly, there’s also a potential niche for pumpkin spice-flavored health products, such as calcium citrate malate with vitamin D3 and folic acid tablets. These could attract health-conscious consumers looking for nutritional benefits along with their seasonal flavor fix. As the pumpkin spice phenomenon continues, integrating such health-oriented options could further enhance its appeal.